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Maple Lake, Three Lakes, WI · Largemouth Bass · 2026-11-14

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Maple Lake — Largemouth Bass

Overall rating

Largemouth Bass at Maple Lake — 2026-11-14

Poor · 33/100

Best window: 4 PM (Poor · 39/100)

Season: Fall
Moon: 23% illuminated, waxingWaxing Crescent
Est. surface temp: 39.7°F
Pressure: 30.20 inHgRising

Est. water temp

39.7°F

v1 estimate from air temperature — not a sensor reading

Below Largemouth Bass's 70-85°F range

Air vs. last week

7°F warmer

31°F now vs 24°F this time last week

Measured air temperature at the nearest weather station — not water

Sun & moon

Sunrise: 6:55 AM
Sunset: 4:26 PM
Moonrise: 11:50 AM
Moonset: 8:31 PM

Sky, wind & pressureat best window · 4 PM

Cloud cover: 21%
Precip chance: 0%
Wind: 3 mph NNW
Pressure: 30.20 inHg Rising

Species context

Why this score

Poor (33/100) for Largemouth Bass: water is estimated at 39.7°F, below Largemouth Bass's 70-85°F optimal range. Best window: Dusk — boosts feeding activity by about 30%, one of their peak feeding windows. That hour also overlaps a major solunar period. 30.20 inHg and rising pressure modeled about 5% below this fish's baseline. Calm (0-5 mph) wind modeled about 10% below this fish's baseline.

What's driving the 4 PM score

Light window (dusk) is doing the most for this score. The score gives up the most on water temperature — 39.7°F estimated, about 45 points below its best. The whole day is then scaled to 75% for post-cold-front high.

Water temperature · hurting
Light window · helping
Solunar period · helping
Barometric pressure · helping
Wind · helping

Show the numbers behind this

Water temperature: 39.7°F estimated
0 of 45 pts
Optimal range 70-85°F
Well supportedWater temperature governs a cold-blooded fish's metabolism, so it is the largest term in the model (Christie & Regier 1988). The figure is a thermal-lag estimate built from forecast air temperature and the time of year — not a sensor reading, and not this lake's actual measured water.
Light window: Dusk
30 of 30 pts
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%
Well supportedLow-light feeding windows are the strongest timing signal inside a single day. How much each window is worth is this species' own cited response, sourced in its model file, not a generic curve.
Solunar period: Major period
5 of 5 pts
Not supported by testingPeer-reviewed testing of North American freshwater fisheries found no significant relationship between solunar values, lunar phase or lunar illumination and catch rates (SN Applied Sciences, 2023) — air temperature predicted catch better than any solunar table tested. It is shown because anglers expect it, and it is shown separately so you can discount it. We reviewed this evidence and cut its weight accordingly.
Barometric pressure: Stable (held neutral by the front)
9.5 of 10 pts
Modeled flat — no change from this fish's baseline
ContestedThe barometric effect is real to most anglers but small and contested in the literature — several of the species studies cited in this model report null results — so it carries one of the smallest weights here.
Wind: Calm (0-5 mph)
7.8 of 10 pts
Modeled about 10% below this fish's baseline
Moderately supportedWind stacks forage on windward structure, but both the size and the direction of the effect depend on the species and the water, so it carries a modest weight.

Then the whole score is scaled

Season: Fall — ×1.00 (100% of the ungated score)

How catchable Largemouth Bass are at this point in the year. This scales the whole score rather than competing with the factors above — a fish that is dormant this time of year cannot score well no matter how good the hour looks.

Weather front: Post-cold-front high — ×0.75 (75% of the ungated score)

A multi-hour frontal pattern read from the day's forecast trajectory. Because a front IS a barometric event, it replaces the single-reading pressure factor above, which is held neutral — the barometer is never counted twice.

Those 5 factors add up to 52.3 of 100 points, and the two multipliers above take that to 39. The weights are tuning constants — solunar's was cut after peer-reviewed testing found no predictive effect, and the others are adjusted as we validate them — shown here rather than hidden so you can weigh them against your own judgement.

What this score does not know

Water clarity. We have no source for it and do not estimate it.
Measured water temperature. The figure in the breakdown is a model over forecast air temperature, not a reading from a buoy or a probe.
Baitfish and forage activity.
How much fishing pressure this water has had.
Where the fish actually are. Depth bands are the species' published seasonal ranges, not an observation of this lake.
What anyone actually caught. No catch reports feed this score.

Conditions read from the National Weather Service as of Nov 14, 2026 at 5:20 AM CST. Solunar periods and sun/moon times are computed, not fetched.

When best caught

It's currently fall. Largemouth Bass typically hold 5-15 ft deep this time of year — at an estimated 39.7°F, this looks like a slower time of year to target them, since water temp is outside their optimal range.

Current depth

5-15 ft

This is the seasonal depth band from the species model, based on this species' typical behavior, not this lake's actual structure.

Today's solunar periods

Major: 2:43 AM–4:43 AM
Minor: 11:20 AM–12:20 PM
Major: 3:08 PM–5:08 PM
Minor: 8:01 PM–9:01 PM

Best times

When do largemouth bass feed during the day?

Largemouth Bass feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 21% above the daily average across all four light windows.

Dawn1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
Daytime0.70x
Suppresses feeding activity by about 30%.
Dusk1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
Night1.00x
Has no measurable effect on feeding activity.

Hour by hour

Hourly bite forecast

Hour	Bite score	Rating	Light	Wind
5 AM	33	Poor	Night	6 mph NNW
6 AM	33	Poor	Night	6 mph NNW
7 AM	38	Poor	Dawn	5 mph NNW
8 AM	38	Poor	Dusk	6 mph NNW
9 AM	38	Poor	Dusk	7 mph NNW
10 AM	28	Poor	Day	7 mph NNW
11 AM	29	Poor	Day	7 mph NNW
12 PM	29	Poor	Day	6 mph NNW
1 PM	28	Poor	Day	6 mph NNW
2 PM	28	Poor	Day	6 mph NNW
3 PM	31	Poor	Day	5 mph NNW
4 PM	39	Poor	Dusk	3 mph NNW
5 PM	39	Poor	Dusk	2 mph NNW
6 PM	31	Poor	Night	2 mph NNW
7 PM	31	Poor	Night	1 mph N
8 PM	33	Poor	Night	0 mph
9 PM	33	Poor	Night	0 mph
10 PM	31	Poor	Night	0 mph
11 PM	31	Poor	Night	0 mph

Pick a lake and species to see a color-coded bite calendar: real hourly scores inside the ~48h forecast horizon, honest day-level estimates out to ~7 days, and clearly marked unavailable days beyond that.

Location

Maple Lake · 45.8028, -89.1622