Today's Bite Forecast
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Bite forecast
Pick a lake, a species, and a date to see the hourly bite forecast and the day's overall rating.
Free — no account, no app
Winter — no bite score
Our bite model is built for open water, and this date falls in Erich Lake's winter. We're not showing a score rather than dressing up a number we don't trust.
Still good all winter: solunar major and minor windows, moon phase and moonrise/moonset — these are astronomical — plus the lake's depth contours and structure, which don't change with the ice.
Doesn't apply under ice: wind response (a wind band means little on ice and nothing in a shelter), the surface-light read (it models cloud cover, not light through ice and snow), and the estimated water temperature (it bottoms out at 32°F, which is true and tells you nothing).
Ice season — measured temperature record
Ice season is the season here, not the off-season, so instead of a bite score Erich Lake gets the one thing a weather record can honestly say: how much freezing has actually stacked up, and when it last let go.
We do not tell you whether the ice is safe
We do not estimate ice thickness and we make no judgement about whether this lake is safe to walk, drive or fish on. Nothing on this page is an ice-safety determination. The only reliable measurement is the one you take yourself, repeatedly, as you go out.
No state agency we know of measures ice thickness, so there is no official reading to look up either. Check your state's natural-resources agency for ice-safety guidance, ask locally before you go, and verify the ice on foot.
These are °F-days, not inches. A freezing degree-day is one day averaging one degree below 32°F — it is a temperature total, and it is the input anglers already track by hand. We publish the arithmetic and stop there. The familiar "15 degree-days per inch" rule assumes bare ice over still water and ignores snow cover, springs, current and aeration, which are exactly what varies from one end of a lake to the other, so we do not apply it for you.
Our record covers 37 of the last 45 days, and those days need not be consecutive. The 8 we do not hold count as zero in the window total, so it is a floor for the window rather than a sum of it — the same reason a freezing run that reaches the edge of our record is reported as "at least".
Lake conditions
Today's environmental conditions for this lake. Pick a species above to layer its bite forecast on top.
Est. water temp
45.9°F
v1 estimate from air temperature — not a sensor reading
Air vs. last week
15°F cooler
37°F now vs 52°F this time last week
Measured air temperature at the nearest weather station — not water
Sun & moon
Erich Lake · 65.4544, -163.2563
Map data © OpenFreeMap, OpenMapTiles, OpenStreetMap contributors
Measured at NWS station PADE · 37 covered days in the last 45 · at least 0 °F-days across the window · latest reading yesterday