Bite forecast

Today's Bite Forecast

Pick a lake, a species, and a date to see the hourly bite forecast and the day's overall rating.

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Winter — no bite score

Our bite model is built for open water, and this date falls in Natat Lake's winter. We're not showing a score rather than dressing up a number we don't trust.

Still good all winter: solunar major and minor windows, moon phase and moonrise/moonset — these are astronomical — plus the lake's depth contours and structure, which don't change with the ice.

Doesn't apply under ice: wind response (a wind band means little on ice and nothing in a shelter), the surface-light read (it models cloud cover, not light through ice and snow), and the estimated water temperature (it bottoms out at 32°F, which is true and tells you nothing).

Ice season — measured temperature record

Ice season is the season here, not the off-season, so instead of a bite score Natat Lake gets the one thing a weather record can honestly say: how much freezing has actually stacked up, and when it last let go.

We do not tell you whether the ice is safe

We do not estimate ice thickness and we make no judgement about whether this lake is safe to walk, drive or fish on. Nothing on this page is an ice-safety determination. The only reliable measurement is the one you take yourself, repeatedly, as you go out.

No state agency we know of measures ice thickness, so there is no official reading to look up either. Check your state's natural-resources agency for ice-safety guidance, ask locally before you go, and verify the ice on foot.

Current freezing run: 16.5 °F-days over 1 day, since Oct 23.
Last day above freezing: Sep 26 — 32.2°F daily mean.; 13 of 29 covered days averaged above freezing.

These are °F-days, not inches. A freezing degree-day is one day averaging one degree below 32°F — it is a temperature total, and it is the input anglers already track by hand. We publish the arithmetic and stop there. The familiar "15 degree-days per inch" rule assumes bare ice over still water and ignores snow cover, springs, current and aeration, which are exactly what varies from one end of a lake to the other, so we do not apply it for you.

Our record covers 29 of the last 45 days, and those days need not be consecutive. The 16 we do not hold count as zero in the window total, so it is a floor for the window rather than a sum of it — the same reason a freezing run that reaches the edge of our record is reported as "at least".

Measured at NWS station PAKP · 29 covered days in the last 45 · at least 182.9 °F-days across the window · latest reading yesterday

Lake conditions

Natat Lake — 2026-10-24

Conditions overview

Today's environmental conditions for this lake. Pick a species above to layer its bite forecast on top.

Season: Winter
Moon: 97% illuminated, waxingFull Moon
Est. surface temp: 32°F
Pressure: 29.85 inHgStable

Est. water temp

32°F

v1 estimate from air temperature — not a sensor reading

Air vs. last week

7°F warmer

29°F now vs 22°F this time last week

Measured air temperature at the nearest weather station — not water

Sun & moon

Sunrise: 9:52 AM
Sunset: 6:00 PM
Moonrise: 5:12 PM
Moonset: 7:53 AM

Sky, wind & pressuremidday · 12 PM

Cloud cover: 99%
Precip chance: 96%
Wind: 25 mph S
Pressure: 29.85 inHg Stable

Today's solunar periods

Major: 11:23 PM–1:23 AM
Minor: 7:23 AM–8:23 AM
Major: 11:46 AM–1:46 PM
Minor: 4:42 PM–5:42 PM

Location

Natat Lake · 67.8769, -153.2791