Fishing report
Lake Arrowhead Northern Pike Fishing Report
Lake Arrowhead, WI
Modeled from live National Weather Service and solunar data as of Jul 28, 2026 at 7:20 PM CDT. This is a computed report, not an eyewitness catch report.
A state fisheries survey records Northern Pike in Lake Arrowhead.
Overall rating
Northern Pike at Lake Arrowhead — 2026-07-28
Good · 61/100Best window: 8 PM (Good · 71/100)
Some conditions data (cloud cover or barometric pressure) was unavailable from the weather service for this day — the rating above reflects only what was available.
- Season
- Summer
- Moon
- 100% illuminated, waxingFull Moon
- Est. surface temp
- 75.5°F
- Pressure
- 29.92 inHgUnknown
Est. water temp
75.5°F
v1 estimate from air temperature — not a sensor reading
Above Northern Pike's 60-68°F range
Sun & moon
- Sunrise
- 5:42 AM
- Sunset
- 8:28 PM
- Moonrise
- 8:19 PM
- Moonset
- 4:23 AM
Sky, wind & pressureat best window · 8 PM
- Cloud cover
- 6%
- Precip chance
- 0%
- Wind
- 1 mph NE
- Pressure
- 29.92 inHg Unknown
Species context
Why this score
Good (61/100) for Northern Pike: water is estimated at 75.5°F, above Northern Pike's 60-68°F optimal range. Best window: Dusk -- boosts feeding activity by about 30%, one of their peak feeding windows. That hour also overlaps a minor solunar period. 29.92 inHg and stable pressure modeled flat — no change from this fish's baseline. Calm (0-5 mph) wind modeled about 15% below this fish's baseline.
What's driving the 8 PM score
Light window (dusk) is doing the most for this score. The score gives up the most on water temperature — 75.5°F estimated, about 20 points below its best.
- Water temperature · neutral
- Light window · helping
- Solunar period · neutral
- Barometric pressure · helping
- Wind · neutral
Show the numbers behind this
Water temperature: 75.5°F estimated
20 of 40 pts
Optimal range 60-68°F
Well supportedWater temperature governs a cold-blooded fish's metabolism, so it is the largest term in the model (Christie & Regier 1988). The figure is a thermal-lag estimate built from forecast air temperature and the time of year — not a sensor reading, and not this lake's actual measured water.
Light window: Dusk
25 of 25 pts
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%
Well supportedLow-light feeding windows are the strongest timing signal inside a single day. How much each window is worth is this species' own cited response, sourced in its model file, not a generic curve.
Solunar period: Minor period
9 of 15 pts
Not supported by testingPeer-reviewed testing of North American freshwater fisheries found no significant relationship between solunar values, lunar phase or lunar illumination and catch rates (SN Applied Sciences, 2023) — air temperature predicted catch better than any solunar table tested. It is shown because anglers expect it, and it is shown separately so you can discount it. Its weight is under owner review.
Barometric pressure: Stable
10 of 10 pts
Modeled flat — no change from this fish's baseline
ContestedThe barometric effect is real to most anglers but small and contested in the literature — several of the species studies cited in this model report null results — so it carries one of the smallest weights here.
Wind: Calm (0-5 mph)
7.1 of 10 pts
Modeled about 15% below this fish's baseline
Moderately supportedWind stacks forage on windward structure, but both the size and the direction of the effect depend on the species and the water, so it carries a modest weight.
Then the whole score is scaled
Season: Summer — ×1.00 (100% of the ungated score)
How catchable Northern Pike are at this point in the year. This scales the whole score rather than competing with the factors above — a fish that is dormant this time of year cannot score well no matter how good the hour looks.
Weather front: No clear front — ×1.00 (100% of the ungated score)
A multi-hour frontal pattern read from the day's forecast trajectory. No front is classified today, so this changes nothing and the single-reading pressure factor above does its normal job.
Those five factors add up to 71.1 of 100 points, and the two multipliers above take that to 71. The weights are v1 tuning constants under owner review — they are shown here rather than hidden so you can weigh them against your own judgement.
What this score does not know
- Water clarity. We have no source for it and do not estimate it.
- Measured water temperature. The figure in the breakdown is a model over forecast air temperature, not a reading from a buoy or a probe.
- Baitfish and forage activity.
- How much fishing pressure this water has had.
- Where the fish actually are. Depth bands are the species' published seasonal ranges, not an observation of this lake.
- What anyone actually caught. No catch reports feed this score.
Conditions read from the National Weather Service as of Jul 28, 2026 at 7:20 PM CDT. Solunar periods and sun/moon times are computed, not fetched.
When best caught
It's currently summer. Northern Pike typically hold 6-20 ft deep this time of year -- at an estimated 75.5°F, this looks like a slower time of year to target them, since water temp is outside their optimal range.
Current depth
6-20 ft
This is the seasonal depth band from the species model -- relative to this species' typical behavior, not this lake's actual structure. True depth relative to this lake's bottom contours needs lake bathymetry (tracked in issue #175).
Today's solunar periods
- Major: 11:02 PM–1:02 AM
- Minor: 3:53 AM–4:53 AM
- Major: 11:27 AM–1:27 PM
- Minor: 7:49 PM–8:49 PM
Best times
Feeding windows by time of day
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 30% above the rest of the day.
- Dawn1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
- Daytime1.00x
Has no measurable effect on feeding activity.
- Dusk1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
- Night0.50x
Suppresses feeding activity by about 50%.
Hour by hour
Hourly bite forecast
| Hour | Bite score | Rating | Light | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 65 | Good | Day | 2 mph N |
| 8 PM | 71 | Good | Dusk | 1 mph NE |
| 9 PM | 67 | Good | Dusk | 0 mph |
| 10 PM | 51 | Fair | Night | 0 mph |
| 11 PM | 51 | Fair | Night | 1 mph SE |
Where to find Northern Pike right now
Typical Summer depth: 6-20 ft
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 30% above the rest of the day.
No depth survey is on record for Lake Arrowhead, so these bands are the species' published seasonal ranges rather than a reading of this water.
Plan a Northern Pike trip to Lake Arrowhead
Change the date, compare species, or check the week ahead in the live tool.
Other species on record at Lake Arrowhead
FAQ
Common questions
Are there Northern Pike in Lake Arrowhead?
A state fisheries survey records Northern Pike in Lake Arrowhead.
When do Northern Pike bite at Lake Arrowhead?
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 30% above the rest of the day. Today's report above scores every hour of the local day against live weather for Lake Arrowhead, and shows what each input contributed alongside how well the evidence supports it.
How deep should you fish for Northern Pike at Lake Arrowhead?
Typical Northern Pike depth by season: Pre-Spawn 2-6 ft, Spawn 0-1 ft, Post-Spawn 3-10 ft, Summer 6-20 ft, Fall 8-18 ft, Winter 4-15 ft. These bands come from published fisheries data for the species, not from a survey of Lake Arrowhead itself.