Fishing report
Long Trade Lake 45 Northern Pike Fishing Report
Frederic, WI
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Modeled from live National Weather Service data as of Aug 28, 2026 at 1:50 PM CDT, plus solunar and sun/moon times computed in-house. This is a computed report, not an eyewitness catch report.
Long Trade Lake 45 has no state survey naming Northern Pike. Its presence is an estimate inferred from 8 confirmed lakes within 40 miles — not a record of a catch.
Overall rating
Northern Pike at Long Trade Lake 45 — 2026-08-28
Fair · 51/100Best window: 12 PM (Good · 61/100)
- Season
- Summer
- Moon
- 100% illuminated, waningFull Moon
- Est. surface temp
- 81°F
- Pressure
- 30.12 inHgFalling
Est. water temp
81°F
v1 estimate from air temperature — not a sensor reading
Above Northern Pike's 60-68°F range
Air vs. last week
6°F warmer
78°F now vs 72°F this time last week
Measured air temperature at the nearest weather station — not water
Sun & moon
- Sunrise
- 6:26 AM
- Sunset
- 7:55 PM
- Moonrise
- 8:05 PM
- Moonset
- 6:53 AM
Sky, wind & pressureat best window · 12 PM
- Cloud cover
- 10%
- Precip chance
- 0%
- Wind
- 5 mph W
- Pressure
- 30.12 inHg Falling
Species context
Why this score
Fair (51/100) for Northern Pike: water is estimated at 81°F, above Northern Pike's 60-68°F optimal range. Best window: Daytime — has no measurable effect on feeding activity. That hour also overlaps a major solunar period. 30.12 inHg and falling pressure modeled flat — no change from this fish's baseline. Light (5-10 mph) wind modeled about 15% above this fish's baseline.
What's driving the 12 PM score
Light window (daytime) is doing the most for this score. The score gives up the most on water temperature — 81°F estimated, about 34.7 points below its best. The whole day is then scaled to 102% for warm front approaching.
- Water temperature · hurting
- Light window · helping
- Solunar period · helping
- Barometric pressure · helping
- Wind · helping
Show the numbers behind this
Water temperature: 81°F estimated
5.3 of 40 pts
Optimal range 60-68°F
Well supportedWater temperature governs a cold-blooded fish's metabolism, so it is the largest term in the model (Christie & Regier 1988). The figure is a thermal-lag estimate built from forecast air temperature and the time of year — not a sensor reading, and not this lake's actual measured water.
Light window: Daytime
19.2 of 25 pts
Has no measurable effect on feeding activity
Well supportedLow-light feeding windows are the strongest timing signal inside a single day. How much each window is worth is this species' own cited response, sourced in its model file, not a generic curve.
Solunar period: Major period
15 of 15 pts
Not supported by testingPeer-reviewed testing of North American freshwater fisheries found no significant relationship between solunar values, lunar phase or lunar illumination and catch rates (SN Applied Sciences, 2023) — air temperature predicted catch better than any solunar table tested. It is shown because anglers expect it, and it is shown separately so you can discount it. Its weight is under owner review.
Barometric pressure: Stable (held neutral by the front)
10 of 10 pts
Modeled flat — no change from this fish's baseline
ContestedThe barometric effect is real to most anglers but small and contested in the literature — several of the species studies cited in this model report null results — so it carries one of the smallest weights here.
Wind: Light (5-10 mph)
9.6 of 10 pts
Modeled about 15% above this fish's baseline
Moderately supportedWind stacks forage on windward structure, but both the size and the direction of the effect depend on the species and the water, so it carries a modest weight.
Then the whole score is scaled
Season: Summer — ×1.00 (100% of the ungated score)
How catchable Northern Pike are at this point in the year. This scales the whole score rather than competing with the factors above — a fish that is dormant this time of year cannot score well no matter how good the hour looks.
Weather front: Warm front approaching — ×1.02 (102% of the ungated score)
A multi-hour frontal pattern read from the day's forecast trajectory. Because a front IS a barometric event, it replaces the single-reading pressure factor above, which is held neutral — the barometer is never counted twice.
Those five factors add up to 59.1 of 100 points, and the two multipliers above take that to 61. The weights are v1 tuning constants under owner review — they are shown here rather than hidden so you can weigh them against your own judgement.
What this score does not know
- Water clarity. We have no source for it and do not estimate it.
- Measured water temperature. The figure in the breakdown is a model over forecast air temperature, not a reading from a buoy or a probe.
- Baitfish and forage activity.
- How much fishing pressure this water has had.
- Where the fish actually are. Depth bands are the species' published seasonal ranges, not an observation of this lake.
- What anyone actually caught. No catch reports feed this score.
Conditions read from the National Weather Service as of Aug 28, 2026 at 1:50 PM CDT. Solunar periods and sun/moon times are computed, not fetched.
When best caught
It's currently summer. Northern Pike typically hold 6-20 ft deep this time of year — at an estimated 81°F, this looks like a slower time of year to target them, since water temp is outside their optimal range.
Current depth
6-20 ft
This is the seasonal depth band from the species model — relative to this species' typical behavior, not this lake's actual structure. True depth relative to this lake's bottom contours needs lake bathymetry (tracked in issue #175).
Today's solunar periods
- Major: 12:14 AM–2:14 AM
- Minor: 6:23 AM–7:23 AM
- Major: 12:36 PM–2:36 PM
- Minor: 7:35 PM–8:35 PM
Best times
When do northern pike feed during the day?
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 27% above the daily average across all four light windows.
- Dawn1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
- Daytime1.00x
Has no measurable effect on feeding activity.
- Dusk1.30x
Boosts feeding activity by about 30%.
- Night0.50x
Suppresses feeding activity by about 50%.
Hour by hour
Hourly bite forecast
| Hour | Bite score | Rating | Light | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 PM | 61 | Good | Day | 5 mph W |
| 1 PM | 61 | Good | Day | 5 mph W |
| 2 PM | 61 | Good | Day | 5 mph WSW |
| 3 PM | 50 | Fair | Day | 5 mph WSW |
| 4 PM | 50 | Fair | Day | 5 mph WSW |
| 5 PM | 47 | Fair | Day | 0 mph |
| 6 PM | 47 | Fair | Day | 0 mph |
| 7 PM | 58 | Fair | Dusk | 0 mph |
| 8 PM | 58 | Fair | Dusk | 0 mph |
| 9 PM | 40 | Fair | Night | 5 mph ESE |
| 10 PM | 40 | Fair | Night | 5 mph SE |
| 11 PM | 40 | Fair | Night | 5 mph SE |
Where to find Northern Pike right now
Typical Summer depth: 6-20 ft
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 27% above the daily average across all four light windows.
No depth survey or measurement is on record for Long Trade Lake 45, so these bands are the species' published seasonal ranges rather than a reading of this water.
Plan a Northern Pike trip to Long Trade Lake 45
Change the date, compare species, or check the week ahead in the live tool.
Other species on record at Long Trade Lake 45
FAQ
Common questions
Are there Northern Pike in Long Trade Lake 45?
Long Trade Lake 45 has no state survey naming Northern Pike. Its presence is an estimate inferred from 8 confirmed lakes within 40 miles — not a record of a catch.
When do Northern Pike bite at Long Trade Lake 45?
Northern Pike feed most actively at Dawn and Dusk, when activity runs about 27% above the daily average across all four light windows. Today's report above scores every hour of the local day against live weather for Long Trade Lake 45, and shows what each input contributed alongside how well the evidence supports it.
How deep should you fish for Northern Pike at Long Trade Lake 45?
Typical Northern Pike depth by season: Pre-Spawn 2-6 ft, Spawn 0-1 ft, Post-Spawn 3-10 ft, Summer 6-20 ft, Fall 8-18 ft, Winter 4-15 ft. These bands come from published fisheries data for the species, not from a survey of Long Trade Lake 45 itself.